Sushil Kedia Recommendation: Spandana Sphoorty Financial Ltd Shares Surged 20%, Could Deliver 6x Returns

Partha Sarathi

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sushil kedia stock picks

Shares of Spandana Sphoorty Financial Ltd. have surged dramatically, experiencing a 20% increase on January 7, 2025, as the stock reached an upper circuit limit of ₹403.65 during trading. This notable rise has sparked interest among analysts and investors alike, with many speculating on the potential for significant returns in the future.

Stock Performance Overview

As of January 7, Spandana Sphoorty Financial’s stock closed at ₹402.75, marking a 19.72% increase from the previous day. Out of ten analysts covering the stock, six have issued a ‘Buy’ recommendation, while four maintain a ‘Hold’ rating. The stock has gained approximately 32% from its 52-week low of ₹304, although it remains about 68% lower than its peak of ₹1,243.10.

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Recent Trading Highlights

  • Intraday High: ₹403.65
  • Intraday Low: ₹325.45
  • Total Net Collection (as of latest): ₹43.54 crore
  • Market Capitalization: Approximately ₹28.61 billion

Financial Performance

Despite the recent surge, Spandana Sphoorty Financial reported a net loss of ₹204 crore for the September quarter, with gross NPAs at 4.86% and net NPAs at 0.99%. Provisions during this quarter increased significantly by 468% year-on-year, totaling ₹491.8 crore, which reflects ongoing challenges in managing loan defaults.

Key Financial Metrics

  • Operating Profit (Q2): ₹219.7 crore (down 9% year-on-year)
  • Assets Under Management (AUM): ₹10,537 crore (up 7.7% year-on-year but down 10.1% from the previous quarter)

GMP (Grey Market Premium)

Currently, Spandana Sphoorty Financial is trading at a Grey Market Premium (GMP) of approximately ₹50, indicating bullish sentiment among traders regarding its future performance.

Pros and Cons

Pros:

  • Strong Analyst Support: Six out of ten analysts recommend buying the stock.
  • Recent Price Surge: Significant price movement indicates renewed investor interest.
  • Market Leader in Microfinance: The company is one of the largest microfinance institutions in India.

Cons:

  • High NPAs and Losses: The company reported substantial losses and high non-performing assets.
  • Market Volatility: The stock has experienced significant fluctuations in recent months.
  • Regulatory Challenges: Changes in lending regulations may impact future growth.

Expert Recommendations

Experts suggest that while there is potential for Spandana Sphoorty to recover and grow, investors should approach with caution due to its current financial instability. Many recommend waiting for clearer signals before making significant investments, particularly given the company’s recent performance metrics.

Conclusion

Spandana Sphoorty Financial’s recent performance has generated considerable interest due to its sharp price increase and potential for future growth, despite underlying financial challenges. With a mix of analyst recommendations and market speculation, investors are keenly watching this microfinance player as it navigates through its recovery phase.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed in this article are based on various sources and do not reflect the opinions of any specific financial entity or management. Users are advised to consult certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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