Market Turmoil: Nifty 50 & Sensex Face Two-Year Low Amid Israel-Iran Conflict – Trading Strategies for Volatility

Koushik Roy

Market Turmoil: Nifty 50 & Sensex Face Two-Year Low Amid Israel-Iran Conflict – Trading Strategies for Volatility

Stock Market Crash: An Overview

Stock Market Crash: Domestic equity indices, including the Sensex and Nifty 50, saw a dramatic downturn, marking their fifth consecutive session of losses. This unprecedented volatility has led to a staggering decline, making it the worst week for the market in over two years. A multitude of factors, including heightened geopolitical tensions and significant foreign fund outflows, has contributed to this crash. Notably, the market witnessed a two percent drop in Thursday’s trading session alone.

Weekly Performance of Key Indices

The frontline indices experienced an approximate loss of 4.5% each this week, which stands as their steepest decline since June 2022. This downturn followed three weeks of positive returns, and since reaching record highs on September 27, the benchmarks have plummeted more than five percent, creating a challenging environment for investors.

   

Also Read: Nifty 50 experiences a significant decline amidst rising fears related to the Iran-Israel conflict, contributing to foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows across the markets.

Market Dynamics and Investor Impact

Continuing its downward trajectory, the BSE Sensex fell by 808.65 points or 0.98%, closing at 81,688.45. Notably, the benchmar set an intraday low of 81,532.68, showcasing a remarkable swing of 1,835.64 points within the trading session. Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty 50 dropped by 235.50 points, settling at 25,014.60. This decline reflects the overall sentiment in the market, which is now in correction territory.

Investor wealth has been significantly impacted over the past five trading sessions, with approximately 13 lakh crore wiped off market capitalizations. Currently, the total market capitalization of Indian stocks is around 466 lakh crore, highlighting the extent of the recent downturn.

Reasons Behind the Market Decline

The recent carnage on Dalal Street can be attributed to several factors, including:

  • Foreign funds withdrawing investments from emerging markets like India.
  • Growing tensions in the Middle East, particularly the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran.
  • Market regulator’s new regulations affecting equity derivative trading.
  • Surging oil prices adding to inflationary pressures.

Market Analysts’ Insights

Industry experts have emphasized that the combination of stretched valuations and geopolitical instability has created a precarious situation for markets. According to Narinder Wadhwa from SKI Capital Services, heightened valuations in various sectors might lead to more corrections if global economic conditions deteriorate or if domestic growth slows. The ongoing volatility is therefore expected to persist.

What Should Investors Do?

In light of the market correction, analysts recommend that investors adopt a cautious yet tactical approach:

  • Continue Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) to benefit from rupee-cost averaging.
  • Re-evaluate asset allocation to ensure a diversified portfolio.
  • Focus on quality stocks and consider using corrections as buying opportunities.
  • Monitor ongoing geopolitical developments and adjust strategies accordingly.

Future Market Direction

The coming days will be crucial in determining whether the markets can recover from this downturn. Ongoing foreign institutional investments will remain a focus area, as shifts toward other emerging markets like China could impact liquidity in Indian stocks. Ultimately, the interplay between FIIs and domestic institutional investors will be vital to market sentiments.