October 3 Stock Market Forecast: What's Next?

Koushik Roy

Nifty Trade Setup for October 3: Key Level 25,750 & Top Stocks to Watch

Market Outlook for October 3, 2024

The stock market is poised to reopen on October 3, following a brief holiday in the middle of the week. Investors and traders are currently keenly observing the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Israel-Iran conflict, alongside the latest trends emerging from American markets. These factors are significantly influencing stock market sentiments and strategies. Notably, Chris Wood from Jefferies recently adjusted his investment weightage, decreasing it for India while raising it for China, citing geopolitical instability as the primary risk impacting market dynamics at this time.

Nifty’s Current Position

On October 1, the Nifty index tested a critical support level at 25,750 but managed to close above it, recovering from a dip to 25,739. This level is being closely monitored by market analysts as it could signal a precarious position for the index. Should the Nifty fall below 25,750, analysts warn that a sharp decline could follow, heightening market volatility.

Upcoming Influences on the Market

   

As trading resumes, several factors are expected to impact market performance. The ongoing Israel-Iran tensions, reactions from the American stock market, and the upcoming expiration of Nifty futures and options contracts will all play vital roles in shaping investor sentiment. According to Rajesh Bhosale from Angel One, the outlook remains cautious; with support levels identified between 25,600 to 25,500 and resistance anticipated in the range of 26,000 to 26,150. He recommends traders exercise caution and consider reducing long positions in light of potential selling pressures on any upward movement.

Positive Market Sentiment Amid Corrections

Conversely, Nagaraj Shetty from HDFC Securities suggests that despite short-term corrections, the index might sustain a bullish trend in the long run. He highlights possible support levels between 25,500 and 25,400, positing that the index could rebound positively from these points.

Key Stocks to Watch

On October 3, several prominent companies will be under the radar for investors. Key stocks include:

Company NameSectors
Maruti SuzukiAutomobile
Hero MotoCorpAutomobile
DaburConsumer Goods
Aurobindo PharmaPharmaceuticals
Hindustan ZincMetals
Coal IndiaEnergy
NMDCMining
South Indian BankBanking
ITCConsumer Goods
Dilip BuildconInfrastructure
Ujjivan Small Finance BankBanking

As the market reopens, investors should remain vigilant and consider these evolving dynamics. The balance between cautious trading strategies and potential market rebounds will be crucial as October progresses.